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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+132/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

Kyren Williams has run a route on 66.0% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

The projections expect Kyren Williams to total 3.6 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Kyren Williams is positioned as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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