My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.

In this game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets.

With a stellar 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams places as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the league.

Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 68.1% to 83.6%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

Kyren Williams's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 17.5.

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™