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Kyren Williams
NFL · Player Props
Kyren Williams
RB · Los Angeles Rams
Receptions
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 17, 2023 11:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyren Williams Receptions

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 66.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyren Williams to notch 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
  • Kyren Williams has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in just 67.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (74.1%) to running backs since the start of last season (74.1%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
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