Kyren Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
Kyren Williams's 71.4% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial growth in his passing offense usage over last season's 29.0% mark.

Favors Under

Kyren Williams's 64.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a remarkable regression in his receiving talent over last season's 80.0% mark.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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