Kyren Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 12, 2026 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a massive 62.5 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
This week, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the projections to place in the 89th percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.
Kyren Williams has posted quite a few more air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (8.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
While Kyren Williams has earned 16.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's offense in this week's contest at 11.0%.
The Bills defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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