Kyren Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 10:12 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.
When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 99th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 10.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Kyren Williams's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 13.6.
With a stellar 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the league.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a meager 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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