Kyren Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-381/+229).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -183 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +229.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a high 55.6% Route Participation% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
The model projects Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
When it comes to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 8.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
With an outstanding 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the top running backs in the pass game in football.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's group of safeties has been awful last year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.