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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.4 per game) since the start of last season.

With an impressive 68.0% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams has been among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to accumulate 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.98 seconds per play.

With a subpar 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among running backs.

With a poor 4.6 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates as one of the weakest pass-game RBs in the NFL.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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