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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a colossal 60.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Kyren Williams has run a route on 68.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.

This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Kyren Williams has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching just 70.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile.

With a poor 4.6 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the bottom running backs in the pass game in the league.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a paltry 7.0 YAC.

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