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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 135.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Kyren Williams's 86.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks an impressive growth in his receiving talent over last season's 68.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyren Williams has posted a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kyren Williams's 10.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 17.5.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Kyren Williams has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
  • Kyren Williams comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, averaging a mere 4.93 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile.

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