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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Rams being a -3-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

In this week's game, Kyren Williams is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 3.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

When it comes to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the lowly 7th percentile among running backs this year, with just -5.0 per game.

Kyren Williams's 11.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 17.5.

The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Kyren Williams has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

More Kyren Williams Player Props

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