Kyren Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 10, 2026 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-155/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
Los Angeles's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and running stats decreased) in light of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.
In this game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.1 rush attempts.
Kyren Williams has garnered 60.5% of his offense's carries last year, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, San Francisco's DT corps has been very bad last year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run on 39.9% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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