Kyren Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Kyren Williams to notch 12.4 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyren Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (62.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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