Kyler Murray Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Touchdowns

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-335).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Vikings to be the most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 65.9% red zone pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to throw 36.2 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense last year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see only 124.5 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the fewest plays in football last year, totaling a measly 51.6 plays per game.
Kyler Murray isn't afraid to take off running near the goal line, accounting for 16.7% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls last year (92nd percentile when it comes to QBs).
With an impressive ratio of 0.17 TDs on the ground per game (82nd percentile), Kyler Murray has been as one of the leading rushing QBs in football last year.

More Kyler Murray Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow