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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4-point underdogs.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Lions defense has been gouged for the 6th-most passing TDs in football: 1.58 per game since the start of last season.

The Lions cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Lions defense has yielded a feeble 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-smallest rate in football.

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