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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +108.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kyler Murray has attempted 44.7 passes per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among QBs.
  • The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • Kyler Murray's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 63.2%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league against the New Orleans Saints defense this year (64.8%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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