Kyler Murray TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

TD Passes

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-153/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -153.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Kyler Murray has attempted 45.9 passes per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the league versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (73.1%).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 7th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.80 per game this year.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Kyler Murray's passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 63.6%.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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