Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 3, 2026 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 10-point advantage, the Vikings are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 45.8% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect Kyler Murray to earn 5.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 7th-most out of all QBs.
The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (139 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 51.7 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
After making up 23.0% of his team's run game usage last year, Kyler Murray has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 7.5%.
The Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.