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Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (41.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.Kyler Murray has averaged 4.5 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in football when it comes to QBs (76th percentile).Kyler Murray isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 18.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.Kyler Murray has run for a lot more yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (31.0).Kyler Murray's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 9.16 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 6.11 rate last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 95.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.
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