Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-147/+107).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to accrue 5.5 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (20.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.9% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has grinded out 25.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (79th percentile).
Kyler Murray has been among the top quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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