Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to earn 5.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (19.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.3% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has grinded out 27.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among quarterbacks (84th percentile).

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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