Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to notch 6.1 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (25.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.7% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has grinded out 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among QBs (85th percentile).

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Kyler Murray has been among the worst QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.93 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 9th percentile.

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