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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to notch 6.1 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (25.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.7% in games he has played).
  • Kyler Murray has grinded out 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among QBs (85th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
  • Kyler Murray has been among the worst QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.93 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 9th percentile.

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