Kyler Murray Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing TD

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+282/-486).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -444 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -486.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.6% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
Kyler Murray isn't afraid to take off running near the goal line, accounting for 21.6% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (92nd percentile among QBs).
Opposing squads have run for the 5th-most touchdowns in football (1.25 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on a measly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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