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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+231/-372).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +264 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +231.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 44.9% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.

Kyler Murray isn't afraid to take off running near the end zone, accounting for 24.2% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (92nd percentile among quarterbacks).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most TDs in the NFL (1.33 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on just 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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