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Kyler Murray
NFL · Player Props
Kyler Murray
QB · Arizona Cardinals
Rushing TD
Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 20, 2022 11:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyler Murray Rushing TD

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+201/-309).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +293 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +201.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • Kyler Murray isn't afraid to run the ball near the end zone, accounting for 17.8% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (81st percentile among quarterbacks).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Favors Under
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.
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