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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+258/-426).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -378 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -426.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
  • Kyler Murray has rushed for 0.20 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football among quarterbacks (82nd percentile).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the most touchdowns in the league (1.60 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends project as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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