Kyler Murray Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+258/-426).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -378 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -426.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
Kyler Murray has rushed for 0.20 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football among quarterbacks (82nd percentile).
Opposing teams have rushed for the most touchdowns in the league (1.60 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends project as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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