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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-394).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +282 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.25 seconds per play.

Kyler Murray isn't afraid to call his own number near the goal line, accounting for 23.1% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (89th percentile among QBs).

Kyler Murray has rushed for 0.18 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among QBs (82nd percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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