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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 223.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

In logging a staggering 36.5 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Kyler Murray rates among the top quarterbacks in the league (78th percentile) in this regard.

The Rams linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.

Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Kyler Murray's 60.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful regression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 64.5% figure.

More Kyler Murray Player Props

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