Kyler Murray Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 270.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 261.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 270.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Kyler Murray has attempted 45.9 passes per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 9th-most yards in the league (264.0 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, giving up 9.50 yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Kyler Murray's passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 63.6%.
Kyler Murray's throwing efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 5.99 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last year.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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