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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Kyler Murray Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 39.0 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.83 targets per game this year, grading out as the 9th-best defense in the league by this stat.

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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