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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Kyler Murray Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 39.0 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

Kyler Murray's throwing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.1% to 64.0%.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (65.9%).

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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