Kyler Murray Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Kyler Murray is expected by the projection model to accrue the 6th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 6.1.
Kyler Murray isn't afraid to call his own number, comprising 23.0% of his team's carries last year, placing him in the 98th percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to run on 39.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see only 124.5 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the fewest plays in football last year, totaling a measly 51.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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