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Kylen Granson

Kylen Granson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Kylen Granson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.

Kylen Granson has been a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this season (9.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.1%).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Kylen Granson's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, totaling 2.7 yards per game compared to a measly 1.1 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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