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Kylen Granson

Kylen Granson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Kylen Granson to accumulate 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kylen Granson grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs this year with a remarkable 10.4% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The predictive model expects the Colts as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Kylen Granson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.7% to 65.4%.
  • Kylen Granson's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, notching just 5.08 yards-per-target vs a 7.28 mark last year.

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