Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Favors Under
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (57.6%) versus tight ends this year (57.6%).
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against TEs this year, yielding 6.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in football.