Kylen Granson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Kylen Granson

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Kylen Granson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (9.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.1%).
Kylen Granson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
Kylen Granson has compiled many more receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.