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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This week, Kyle Pitts is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among tight ends with 7.0 targets.

Kyle Pitts's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for tight ends.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

With a feeble 60.1% Adjusted Completion% (4th percentile) last year, Kyle Pitts ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

The Steelers linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in football last year in defending receivers.

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