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Kyle Pitts
NFL · Player Props
Kyle Pitts
TE · Atlanta Falcons
Receptions
Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyle Pitts Receptions

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -138.

Favors Over
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • Kyle Pitts ranks as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 3.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
  • Kyle Pitts's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 49.3% to 58.7%.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) versus tight ends this year (78.6%).
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point regression in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Kyle Pitts has been used much less in his offense's passing attack.
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