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Kyle Pitts
NFL · Player Props
Kyle Pitts
TE · Atlanta Falcons
Receptions
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyle Pitts Receptions

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -146.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 25.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (74.6%) to tight ends since the start of last season (74.6%).
Favors Under
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
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