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Kyle Pitts
NFL · Player Props
Kyle Pitts
TE · Atlanta Falcons
Receptions
Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyle Pitts Receptions

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 49.9.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (83.9%) to tight ends this year (83.9%).
Favors Under
  • The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, averaging just 2.7 yards per game vs 3.9 last season.
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