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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to garner 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

Kyle Pitts's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 49.9.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (81.1%) vs. tight ends this year (81.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.

Kyle Pitts's receiving skills have declined this year, averaging a mere 2.5 yards per game compared to 3.9 last year.

Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 62.0% to 50.6%.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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