Kyle Pitts Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Pitts

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Pitts

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to earn 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
Kyle Pitts has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this season (25.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.0%).
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (82.9%) vs. TEs this year (82.9%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 7th-worst group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
Kyle Pitts's play as a receiver has declined this season, totaling a measly 2.8 yards per game compared to 3.9 last season.
Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 52.9%.

More Kyle Pitts Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow