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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -146.
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accrue 8.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Kyle Pitts's 49.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has been among the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs, completing just 62.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (64%) to tight ends since the start of last season (64.0%).

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