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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to accrue 5.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With an outstanding 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates among the top pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 60.1% to 55.1%.

Kyle Pitts's 3.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a material progression in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 2.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.

Kyle Pitts has posted quite a few less air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (62.0 per game).

Kyle Pitts's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.8.

When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

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