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Kyle Pitts
NFL · Player Props
Kyle Pitts
TE · Atlanta Falcons
Receiving Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to earn 6.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
  • Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 24.3% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
Favors Under
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (55.4%) vs. tight ends this year (55.4%).
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