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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 25.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has totaled a colossal 74.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among TEs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.

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