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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to notch 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this season (26.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.0%).
  • Kyle Pitts has put up significantly more air yards this year (82.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).
  • Kyle Pitts's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, totaling 6.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 3.59 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • Kyle Pitts has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

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