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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to earn 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
  • Kyle Pitts has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this season (25.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.0%).
  • Kyle Pitts has put up a colossal 76.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among TEs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this season, compiling 7.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 3.59 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
  • Kyle Pitts has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
  • Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 52.9%.

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