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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-518).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +309 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +295.
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (19.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).
  • Kyle Pitts has notched significantly more air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).
  • Kyle Pitts's 51.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 99th percentile for TEs.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 62.0% to 44.1%.
  • Kyle Pitts grades out in the 1st percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) vs. TEs this year (64.8%).

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