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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+263/-437).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -375 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -437.
  • The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (22.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.5% in games he has played).

  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 62.0% to 24.4%.
  • Kyle Pitts ranks in the 24th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.06 per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football to tight ends: 0.22 per game since the start of last season.

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