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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+263/-437).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -375 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -437.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (22.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 62.0% to 24.4%.

Kyle Pitts ranks in the 24th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.06 per game.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football to tight ends: 0.22 per game since the start of last season.

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